A double life cycle in tourism arrivals to Spain: unit root tests with gradual change analysis.

Albaladejo, Isabel, P.; González Martínez, María Isabel; Martínez-García, María Pilar

Publication:
A double life cycle in tourism arrivals to Spain: unit root tests with gradual change analysis.

dc.contributor.author	Albaladejo, Isabel, P.
dc.contributor.author	González Martínez, María Isabel
dc.contributor.author	Martínez-García, María Pilar
dc.contributor.department	Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa
dc.date.accessioned	2022-01-24T13:46:02Z
dc.date.available	2022-01-24T13:46:02Z
dc.date.issued	2020
dc.description	©<2020>. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This document is the Accepted Manuscript version of a Published Work that appeared in final form in Journal of Destination Marketing & Management]. To access the final edited and published work see[https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdmm.2020.100497]
dc.description.abstract	The Tourist Area Life Cycle (TALC) theory by Butler (1980) proposes an S-shaped growth trend for the evolution of the number of tourists to a specific tourist destination. According to the data on tourist arrivals to Spain from 1946 to 2015, there may have one or two life cycles (TALCs). We propose to test these hypotheses by unit root tests with gradual change. Our results confirm that a double S-shaped or bilogistic curve is the long run equilibrium, so validating the existence of two TALCs in the evolution of Spanish tourism. Both logistic curves overlap in the late of the 70`s and early 80`s. The first is characterized by the Spanish tourism boom in the 60's, while the second one experiences an intense growth during 1995-2007, a period of sustained economic growth in the world.	es
dc.format	application/msword	es
dc.identifier.citation	Journal of Destination Marketing & Management 18, 100497
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdmm.2020.100497
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10201/116268
dc.language	eng	es
dc.publisher	Elsevier	es
dc.relation	The authors have been partially funded by the Agencia Estatal de Investigación of the Spanish Government under research projects ECO2017-82227-P (Maria Pilar Martinez-Garcia), ECO2016-76178-P (Isabel Albaladejo) and PID2019-107192GB-I00 (Isabel Albaladejo and María Isabel González-Martínez). These projects are cofinanced by FEDER funds.	es
dc.relation.publisherversion	https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212571X20301190	es
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess	es
dc.rights	Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional	*
dc.rights.uri	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/	*
dc.subject	Tourism area life cycle
dc.subject	Multilogistic growth model
dc.subject	Unit root test
dc.subject	Smooth transition
dc.subject.other	CDU::3 - Ciencias sociales::33 - Economía	es
dc.title	A double life cycle in tourism arrivals to Spain: unit root tests with gradual change analysis.	es
dc.type	info:eu-repo/semantics/article	es
dspace.entity.type	Publication	es