Shifts in the climate space of temperate cyprinid fishes due to climate change are coupled with altered body sizes and growth rates

Ruiz Navarro, Ana

Publication:
Shifts in the climate space of temperate cyprinid fishes due to climate change are coupled with altered body sizes and growth rates

dc.contributor	Gillingham, Phillipa K.
dc.contributor	Britton, J. Robert
dc.contributor.author	Ruiz Navarro, Ana
dc.contributor.department	Didáctica de las Ciencias Experimentales
dc.date.accessioned	2024-01-30T08:26:31Z
dc.date.available	2024-01-30T08:26:31Z
dc.date.copyright	© 2016 The Authors
dc.date.issued	2016-01-29
dc.description.abstract	Predictions of species responses to climate change often focus on distribution shifts, although responses can also include shifts in body sizes and population demographics. Here, shifts in the distributional ranges (‘climate space’), body sizes (as maximum theoretical body sizes, L∞) and growth rates (as rate at which L∞ is reached, K) were predicted for five fishes of the Cyprinidae family in a temperate region over eight climate change projections. Great Britain was the model area, and the model species were Rutilus rutilus, Leuciscus leuciscus, Squalius cephalus, Gobio gobio and Abramis brama. Ensemble models predicted that the species’ climate spaces would shift in all modelled projections, with the most drastic changes occurring under high emissions; all range centroids shifted in a north-westerly direction. Predicted climate space expanded for R. rutilus and A. brama, contracted for S. cephalus, and for L. leuciscus and G. gobio, expanded under low-emission scenarios but contracted under high emissions, suggesting the presence of some climate-distribution thresholds. For R. rutilus, A. brama, S. cephalus and G. gobio, shifts in their climate space were coupled with predicted shifts to significantly smaller maximum body sizes and/or faster growth rates, aligning strongly to aspects of temperature-body size theory. These predicted shifts in L∞ and K had considerable consequences for size-at-age per species, suggesting substantial alterations in population age structures and abundances. Thus, when predicting climate change outcomes for species, outputs that couple shifts in climate space with altered body sizes and growth rates provide considerable insights into the population and community consequences, especially for species that cannot easily track their thermal niches.
dc.format	application/pdf	es
dc.format.extent	12	es
dc.identifier.citation	Global Change Biology, (2016) 22, 3221-3232
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13230
dc.identifier.issn	1354-1013
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10201/138083
dc.language	eng	es
dc.publisher	John Wiley & Sons
dc.relation	The work was supported by a Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship (FP7-PEOPLE-2013-IEF) of the European Commission (Ares(2015)3675806-PIEF-GA-2013-625122)	es
dc.relation	The species distribution information used here was sourced through the NBN Gateway website (http://data.nbn.org.uk) accessed on 07/11/2014, and included multiple resources. The data providers and NBN Trust bear no responsibility for the further analysis or interpretation of this material, data and/or information. We thank the Environment Agency for access to the fish age data. David Fletcher helped in the selection and use of the appropriate modelling methodology. Natalia Tejedor helped in the management of climatic data. The work was supported by a Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship (FP7-PEOPLE-2013-IEF) of the European Commission (Ares(2015) 3675806-PIEF-GA-2013-625122)
dc.relation.publisherversion	https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.13230	es
dc.rights	Attribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.accessRights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject	Climate change	es
dc.subject	Climate envelope
dc.subject	Emissions
dc.subject	Lowland rivers
dc.subject	Somatic growth
dc.title	Shifts in the climate space of temperate cyprinid fishes due to climate change are coupled with altered body sizes and growth rates	es
dc.type	info:eu-repo/semantics/article	es
dc.type.version	info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersión
dspace.entity.type	Publication	es